In order to hold together a structure whether a large building or a state you need a firm foundation and if you don’t have a firm foundation you need to create one.
In the case of a house because one part is built on moving clay and the rest on rock engineers will dig down until they can find a firm foundation or failing that they create a massive highly re-enforced concrete raft. In the case of a state if the various regions have almost nothing in common in terms of history, culture, laws, attitudes, economy, etc. – the state has no choice but to enforce common history, culture, etc. to FORCE CONFORMITY.
So, authoritarianism is not a chance outcome of trying to build a single state for many disparate nations that do not fit together – it is a prerequisite to a single state.
As such when the EU police form comes into effect next year, it is almost certain that its main role will be to FORCE CONFORMITY. We are already seeing the start of this in the attempts to prevent unwanted anti-EU comments on twitter and facebook. Now we have started to see the British police acting for the EU bully-boy state to repress our democratic rights.
No one should be at all surprised. Brexit is the people’s revolution, it is the otherthrow of the political elite who so disdain democracy that they’d rather the appalling EU ran our country than that they let the people be in charge.
Note on US State
The US is an oddity in terms of large states because almost without exception all other states from China to the USSR have been the quintessential authoritarian states. So what makes the US different? The key to understanding this is that almost all the states within the US share very similar history, they were settled by very similar peoples with very similar outlooks on life. So, culturally there is far less difference across the US than Europe. But that does not stop one of the most critical flaws in the super-state: the differential economic growth. In large superstates where part of the economy is growing much quicker than the rest, the only way to keep the economies together is to implement huge taxation for the “rich” and then transfer it to the poor. This is why super-states tend to be communist!
The other solution is that followed by the US: to leave it up to the individual to cope with regional wide economic discrepancies. In other words to say “get on your bike and move away from areas falling behind to areas doing well”. That, and the fact the US used to be one of the richest countries so that even the poor were rich relative to international standards kept the country together … although even the US went through a bloody civil war before it settled down … something which history tells us is inevitable within the EU!!
So, it appears there are two models for super-states:
- Authoritarian communist style
- Extreme free market + extreme force used by central state to ensure no secession
Grexit & the rise of the Authoritarian EU
The problems of Grexit are the predictable outcome when you have multiple speed growth in various countries within a currency “block”. Like a house build on two different foundations
A currency built on two regions with extremely different growth rates will find that economically cracks will begin to grow between the two parts – and the stresses causing these cracks will grow in proportion to the economic disparity. In mathematical terms:
Difference in (GDP+’state’ spending)/person x years
So, we can quite simply predict the necessary EU funding that will be pushed into Greece in order to stabilise the Euro. And when we add the cost of EU spending needed to boost all economies doing less well than average – we can see that on average “GDP+EU-SPending” is going to have to be equal across all countries. Which means that the actual figure that:
EU spending – EU taxation = national GDP/person – EU average
In other words the economies have to be equalised. But the other way to do this is also very simply. It is to equalise national GDP/person … not by changing GDP, but by the simple expedient of mass immigration from poorer parts of Europe to richer until the average GDP/person is the same throughout the EU.
“the average GDP/person is the same throughout the EU.”
This is why large states are forced to be authoritarian. Large disparities: social, cultural, religious, economic, create large social tensions. And social tensions result in authoritarian behaviour from the state – usually endorsed by much of the population – except those it directly affects in each particular instance. Except little by little the sate begins to intervene in all aspects of life until every suffers in some way from the over-reach of the state.
And it’s no one’s fault – each incremental increase in authoritarian behaviour will be entirely justified (at least in the eyes of the dictators) as necessary to keep the state together and therefore essential. Each small removal of human rights and democratic freedoms will be justified because they just seem to mirror the social tensions and appear to be in some way “the cause”.
The EU is heading toward an authoritarian state. The massive immigration is already creating such massive social tension that basic freedoms will soon disappear in the guise of “stopping terrorism”. Censorship and regulation of speech is already common place in Universities and will soon also be common & prolific in public.
And none of this is necessary – because it is all due to the crazy romantic idea of trying to push together all the very different states, cultures, economies etc. who don’t want to be together.